[Asian Games] Time for Arithmetic Begins Again... Korean Baseball must Always give Fewer Points

It's time for math again in the 2022 Hangzhou Asian Games baseball game, which has no points.

Rather than solving high-dimensional equations, simple calculations such as dividing, subtracting, and dividing determine the future of the Korean national baseball team.

The national baseball team, led by coach Ryu Joong-il, faced the biggest crisis in its quest for its fourth consecutive championship by losing 0-4 to its tough enemy Taiwan on the 2nd.

According to the World Baseball Softball Confederation's (WBSC) international competition rules that lead from the group stage to the super round, Korea cannot advance to the finals on its own even if it advances to the super round and defeats Japan and China.

If Japan, which is likely to be ranked first in Group A, is lucky enough to defeat Taiwan, which is ranked first in Group B, a situation will arise where the three teams with Korea will be tied with 2 wins and 1 loss.

Korea's most desired scenario is to consider the rules for determining rankings in games between tied teams.

The first principle in determining the ranking of tied teams is the winner, which is meaningless when three teams tie.

The second is TQB (Team's Quality Balance), a team performance indicator.

First, calculate the number A by dividing the team's runs by the offensive innings, and then calculate the number B by dividing the team's runs by the defensive innings.

Dividing A into B, the team with the largest TQB takes the top spot.

The larger the numerator and the smaller the denominator, the larger the TQB figure, which means that more points should be scored and fewer goals conceded.

If the TQB is the same, the ranking is determined in order of least earned runs compared to TQB in games between tied teams.

The team that scores fewer points has an absolute advantage.

Korea was down 0-2, but lost 0-4 to Taiwan after giving 2 more points due to Ko Woo-seok (LG Twins)'s poor performance.

Even if we win against Japan, we must win by a large margin, and Japan must also beat Taiwan by a large margin to see a glimmer of hope.

This is the worst outcome of a single defeat, and is closer to a fluke that requires several conditions to meet.

It is also difficult to expect whether Korea, which is said to have the 'weakest' batting line of all time, can properly hit the fast balls of Japanese professional baseball pitchers who are comparable to professional baseball pitchers.

However, in the 2018 Jakarta-Palembang Tournament, Korea lost 1-2 to Taiwan and advanced to the super round in second place in the group, then took the opportunity to recover by beating Japan 5-1.

Thanks to Japan defeating Taiwan 5-0, in the TQB comparison between Korea, Japan, and Taiwan, Korea advanced to the finals with Japan ahead of Taiwan.

The situation is similar, but the fact that more points were given to Taiwan than five years ago, and the key players are under 25 years old and have less than 4 years of professional experience, is a world of difference.



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